Top pick today
Levante
vs
Sevilla
- Our pick
- Levante to win
- Model prob.
- 55%
- Market prob.
- 35%
- Edge
- +20%
- Best odds
- 2.82
Updated
12 October 2026
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Top pick today
4 fixtures today, 1 already played — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino vs UdineseSerie AA | Serie A | TorinoOur prob 38%Best odds 2.50 | -6% | 33% | 39% | A | 2.50 |
| Levante vs SevillaLa LigaA | La Liga | LevanteOur prob 40%Best odds 2.82 | +20% | 55% | 35% | A | 2.82 |
| Coventry vs Newcastle UnitedPremier LeagueB | Premier League | Newcastle UnitedOur prob 40%Best odds 2.25 | -18% | 27% | 44% | B | 2.25 |
| 3-1 FTAtalanta vs VeneziaSerie AB | Serie A | AtalantaOur prob 54%Best odds 1.63 | -26% | 35% | 61% | B | 1.63 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
3 upcoming fixtures across 3 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
What happened next to what we predicted