Top pick today
Racing Santander
vs
Valencia
- Our pick
- Racing Santander to win
- Model prob.
- 62%
- Market prob.
- 43%
- Edge
- +19%
- Best odds
- 2.33
Updated
11 October 2026
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Top pick today
Largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
Juventus to win
17 fixtures today, 14 already played — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari vs JuventusSerie AA | Serie A | JuventusOur prob 63%Best odds 1.60 | +6% | 68% | 62% | A | 1.60 |
| Estac Troyes vs MarseilleLigue 1B | Ligue 1 | MarseilleOur prob 42%Best odds 2.15 | -19% | 27% | 46% | B | 2.15 |
| Racing Santander vs ValenciaLa LigaA | La Liga | Racing SantanderOur prob 47%Best odds 2.33 | +19% | 62% | 43% | A | 2.33 |
| 0-0 FTComo vs RomaSerie AA | Serie A | RomaOur prob 37%Best odds 2.80 | +9% | 44% | 35% | A | 2.80 |
| 0-0 FTElche vs Celta VigoLa LigaA | La Liga | Celta VigoOur prob 35%Best odds 2.58 | -11% | 27% | 38% | A | 2.58 |
| 3-1 FTCrystal Palace vs Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueA | Premier League | Crystal PalaceOur prob 39%Best odds 2.92 | +20% | 54% | 34% | A | 2.92 |
| 2-2 FTHull City vs EvertonPremier LeagueB | Premier League | EvertonOur prob 42%Best odds 2.18 | -15% | 30% | 45% | B | 2.18 |
| 3-1 FTLazio vs MonzaSerie AB | Serie A | LazioOur prob 51%Best odds 1.80 | -20% | 36% | 56% | B | 1.80 |
| 1-2 FTLecce vs BolognaSerie AA | Serie A | BolognaOur prob 49%Best odds 2.02 | +2% | 51% | 49% | A | 2.02 |
| 2-1 FTNice vs StrasbourgLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | NiceOur prob 41%Best odds 2.41 | 0% | 41% | 41% | A | 2.41 |
| 2-1 FTFC Cologne vs Borussia M.GladbachBundesligaA | Bundesliga | FC CologneOur prob 49%Best odds 2.09 | +5% | 52% | 47% | A | 2.09 |
| 3-2 FTReal Sociedad vs Deportivo La CorunaLa LigaA | La Liga | Real SociedadOur prob 54%Best odds 1.66 | -22% | 38% | 59% | A | 1.66 |
| 4-1 FTRennes vs AuxerreLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | RennesOur prob 63%Best odds 1.48 | -14% | 53% | 67% | A | 1.48 |
| 0-3 FTLiverpool vs Manchester CityPremier LeagueA | Premier League | Manchester CityOur prob 43%Best odds 2.36 | +1% | 43% | 42% | A | 2.36 |
| 2-1 FTFreiburg vs FC Schalke 04BundesligaB | Bundesliga | FreiburgOur prob 54%Best odds 1.72 | -14% | 44% | 58% | B | 1.72 |
| 1-1 FTSassuolo vs AC MilanSerie AA | Serie A | AC MilanOur prob 46%Best odds 1.91 | -24% | 28% | 52% | A | 1.91 |
| 5-2 FTReal Betis vs OsasunaLa LigaA | La Liga | Real BetisOur prob 63%Best odds 1.56 | -2% | 62% | 64% | A | 1.56 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
3 upcoming fixtures across 3 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
What happened next to what we predicted