Updated

6 November 2026

Football predictions today

Hamburger SV faces Borussia M.Gladbach today, with our model assigning a probability of 37% to the latter, compared to the market's 35%, resulting in an edge of +2.4 percentage points. Venezia's match against Udinese shows a similar trend, with a published probability of 46% against the market's 44%, yielding an edge of +2.2 percentage points. The model has high-confidence picks for all five fixtures, yet the absence of strong value picks raises questions about the overall reliability of the data.

Top pick today

Hamburger SV vs Borussia M.Gladbach

Bundesliga ·

Our pick
Borussia M.Gladbach to win
Our prob.
37%
Market prob.
35%
Edge
+2%
Best odds
2.95
Matches today 5 across 5 competitions
Competitions 5 with fixtures today
Value picks 2 edge ≥ 2% over the market
High confidence 5 both teams xG-backed
Average edge +2.3% across value picks

Top opportunities

Largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live

All value bets
ValueA

Venezia to win

Venezia vs Udinese · Serie A ·

Edge+2% Our prob46% Best odds2.33
Full prediction

Match explorer

5 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures today with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Hamburger SV vs Borussia M.GladbachBundesligaA Bundesliga Borussia M.GladbachOur prob 37%Best odds 2.95 +2% 37% 35% A 2.95
Venezia vs UdineseSerie AA Serie A VeneziaOur prob 46%Best odds 2.33 +2% 46% 44% A 2.33
Toulouse vs StrasbourgLigue 1A Ligue 1 ToulouseOur prob 47%Best odds 2.12 +1% 47% 46% A 2.12
Sevilla vs AlavesLa LigaA La Liga SevillaOur prob 47%Best odds 2.09 +1% 47% 46% A 2.09
Everton vs CoventryPremier LeagueA Premier League EvertonOur prob 55%Best odds 1.75 0% 55% 55% A 1.75

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Competitions in our window

5 upcoming fixtures across 5 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page

All competitions