Top pick today
Frosinone
vs
Sassuolo
- Our pick
- Frosinone to win
- Model prob.
- 54%
- Market prob.
- 38%
- Edge
- +16%
- Best odds
- 2.62
Matches today
4
across 4 competitions
Competitions
4
with fixtures today
Value picks
2
model edge ≥ 2%
High confidence
2
both teams xG-backed
Average edge
+15.5%
across value picks
Top opportunities
Largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
High edgeA
Deportivo La Coruna to win
Edge+15%
Our prob49%
Best odds2.17
Full prediction Match explorer
4 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC CologneBundesligaA | Bundesliga | Eintracht FrankfurtOur prob 48%Best odds 1.99 | -4% | 45% | 49% | A | 1.99 |
| Le Mans vs ToulouseLigue 1B | Ligue 1 | ToulouseOur prob 38%Best odds 2.39 | -13% | 28% | 41% | B | 2.39 |
| Frosinone vs SassuoloSerie AB | Serie A | FrosinoneOur prob 42%Best odds 2.62 | +16% | 54% | 38% | B | 2.62 |
| Deportivo La Coruna vs LevanteLa LigaA | La Liga | Deportivo La CorunaOur prob 49%Best odds 2.17 | +15% | 60% | 45% | A | 2.17 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Competitions in our window
4 upcoming fixtures across 4 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
- Bundesliga Germany 1 fixture
- Ligue 1 France 1 fixture
- Serie A Italy 1 fixture
- La Liga Spain 1 fixture