Top pick today
Manchester United
vs
Bournemouth
- Our pick
- Bournemouth to win
- Our prob.
- 38%
- Market prob.
- 31%
- Edge
- +8%
- Best odds
- 4.42
Matches today
22
across 5 competitions
Competitions
5
with fixtures today
Value picks
3
edge ≥ 2% over the market
High confidence
19
both teams xG-backed
Average edge
+4.9%
across value picks
Top opportunities
Largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
ValueA
Sunderland to win
Edge+4%
Our prob36%
Best odds3.08
Full prediction ValueA
Monaco to win
Edge+3%
Our prob49%
Best odds2.15
Full prediction Match explorer
22 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter vs FiorentinaSerie AA | Serie A | InterOur prob 68%Best odds 1.41 | -3% | 68% | 71% | A | 1.41 |
| Athletic Club vs GetafeLa LigaA | La Liga | Athletic ClubOur prob 62%Best odds 1.66 | +1% | 62% | 61% | A | 1.66 |
| Liverpool vs BrightonPremier LeagueA | Premier League | LiverpoolOur prob 43%Best odds 2.15 | -2% | 43% | 45% | A | 2.15 |
| Manchester United vs BournemouthPremier LeagueA | Premier League | BournemouthOur prob 38%Best odds 4.42 | +8% | 38% | 31% | A | 4.42 |
| Crystal Palace vs Newcastle UnitedPremier LeagueB | Premier League | Newcastle UnitedOur prob 38%Best odds 2.38 | -3% | 38% | 41% | B | 2.38 |
| Hull City vs BrentfordPremier LeagueA | Premier League | BrentfordOur prob 52%Best odds 1.75 | -4% | 52% | 56% | A | 1.75 |
| Genoa vs VeneziaSerie AA | Serie A | GenoaOur prob 44%Best odds 2.20 | -1% | 44% | 45% | A | 2.20 |
| Atalanta vs FrosinoneSerie AA | Serie A | AtalantaOur prob 46%Best odds 1.86 | -6% | 46% | 52% | A | 1.86 |
| Monaco vs LilleLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | MonacoOur prob 49%Best odds 2.15 | +3% | 49% | 46% | A | 2.15 |
| Hoffenheim vs Bayer LeverkusenBundesligaA | Bundesliga | Bayer LeverkusenOur prob 43%Best odds 2.39 | +1% | 43% | 41% | A | 2.39 |
| Celta Vigo vs Real BetisLa LigaA | La Liga | Real BetisOur prob 40%Best odds 2.95 | -3% | 40% | 42% | A | 2.95 |
| Angers vs LorientLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | LorientOur prob 40%Best odds 2.52 | +1% | 40% | 39% | A | 2.52 |
| Marseille vs Le HavreLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | MarseilleOur prob 57%Best odds 1.60 | -4% | 57% | 61% | A | 1.60 |
| Rennes vs StrasbourgLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | RennesOur prob 54%Best odds 1.83 | +1% | 54% | 53% | A | 1.83 |
| Auxerre vs Le MansLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | AuxerreOur prob 44%Best odds 2.15 | -1% | 44% | 46% | A | 2.15 |
| Sunderland vs LeedsPremier LeagueA | Premier League | SunderlandOur prob 36%Best odds 3.08 | +4% | 36% | 32% | A | 3.08 |
| Freiburg vs Bayern MunichBundesligaC | Bundesliga | Bayern MunichOur prob 65%Best odds 1.41 | -4% | 65% | 69% | C | 1.41 |
| Lecce vs JuventusSerie AA | Serie A | JuventusOur prob 66%Best odds 1.50 | +1% | 66% | 66% | A | 1.50 |
| Real Sociedad vs LevanteLa LigaA | La Liga | Real SociedadOur prob 60%Best odds 1.67 | +1% | 60% | 59% | A | 1.67 |
| Udinese vs AC MilanSerie AA | Serie A | AC MilanOur prob 55%Best odds 1.82 | -1% | 55% | 56% | A | 1.82 |
| Paris Saint Germain vs LyonLigue 1B | Ligue 1 | Paris Saint GermainOur prob 65%Best odds 1.46 | -1% | 65% | 67% | B | 1.46 |
| Barcelona vs Real MadridLa LigaA | La Liga | BarcelonaOur prob 60%Best odds 1.65 | +1% | 60% | 59% | A | 1.65 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Competitions in our window
22 upcoming fixtures across 5 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
- Serie A Italy 5 fixtures
- La Liga Spain 4 fixtures
- Premier League England 5 fixtures
- Ligue 1 France 6 fixtures
- Bundesliga Germany 2 fixtures