Top pick today
Hamburger SV
vs
Borussia M.Gladbach
- Our pick
- Borussia M.Gladbach to win
- Our prob.
- 37%
- Market prob.
- 35%
- Edge
- +2%
- Best odds
- 2.95
Updated
6 November 2026
Hamburger SV faces Borussia M.Gladbach today, with our model assigning a probability of 37% to the latter, compared to the market's 35%, resulting in an edge of +2.4 percentage points. Venezia's match against Udinese shows a similar trend, with a published probability of 46% against the market's 44%, yielding an edge of +2.2 percentage points. The model has high-confidence picks for all five fixtures, yet the absence of strong value picks raises questions about the overall reliability of the data.
Top pick today
Largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
Venezia to win
5 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV vs Borussia M.GladbachBundesligaA | Bundesliga | Borussia M.GladbachOur prob 37%Best odds 2.95 | +2% | 37% | 35% | A | 2.95 |
| Venezia vs UdineseSerie AA | Serie A | VeneziaOur prob 46%Best odds 2.33 | +2% | 46% | 44% | A | 2.33 |
| Toulouse vs StrasbourgLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | ToulouseOur prob 47%Best odds 2.12 | +1% | 47% | 46% | A | 2.12 |
| Sevilla vs AlavesLa LigaA | La Liga | SevillaOur prob 47%Best odds 2.09 | +1% | 47% | 46% | A | 2.09 |
| Everton vs CoventryPremier LeagueA | Premier League | EvertonOur prob 55%Best odds 1.75 | 0% | 55% | 55% | A | 1.75 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
5 upcoming fixtures across 5 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page