Top pick today
Union Berlin
vs
FC Cologne
- Our pick
- FC Cologne to win
- Our prob.
- 44%
- Market prob.
- 38%
- Edge
- +7%
- Best odds
- 2.60
Updated
1 November 2026
FC Cologne is published at 44% against the market's 38%, creating an edge of +6.5 percentage points, the widest gap today. This does not confirm the outcome of the match. There are 16 fixtures covered across five competitions, with 14 high-confidence picks. The largest source of doubt lies in the varying probabilities derived from xG-based team ratings blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds.
Top pick today
Largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
Athletic Club to win
Elche to win
16 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como vs VeneziaSerie AA | Serie A | ComoOur prob 71%Best odds 1.35 | -1% | 71% | 73% | A | 1.35 |
| Getafe vs SevillaLa LigaA | La Liga | SevillaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.56 | 0% | 39% | 39% | A | 2.56 |
| Lazio vs CagliariSerie AA | Serie A | LazioOur prob 64%Best odds 1.52 | -1% | 64% | 65% | A | 1.52 |
| Frosinone vs TorinoSerie AA | Serie A | FrosinoneOur prob 46%Best odds 2.20 | +1% | 46% | 45% | A | 2.20 |
| Strasbourg vs AuxerreLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | StrasbourgOur prob 49%Best odds 1.88 | -3% | 49% | 52% | A | 1.88 |
| Union Berlin vs FC CologneBundesligaA | Bundesliga | FC CologneOur prob 44%Best odds 2.60 | +7% | 44% | 38% | A | 2.60 |
| Racing Santander vs Real MadridLa LigaA | La Liga | Real MadridOur prob 70%Best odds 1.26 | -8% | 70% | 78% | A | 1.26 |
| Lyon vs AngersLigue 1B | Ligue 1 | LyonOur prob 66%Best odds 1.44 | -3% | 66% | 68% | B | 1.44 |
| Paris FC vs MonacoLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | Paris FCOur prob 40%Best odds 2.53 | +2% | 40% | 38% | A | 2.53 |
| Liverpool vs ArsenalPremier LeagueC | Premier League | ArsenalOur prob 38%Best odds 2.51 | -1% | 38% | 39% | C | 2.51 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SVBundesligaA | Bundesliga | Eintracht FrankfurtOur prob 62%Best odds 1.69 | 0% | 62% | 62% | A | 1.69 |
| Lecce vs GenoaSerie AA | Serie A | GenoaOur prob 40%Best odds 2.39 | 0% | 40% | 41% | A | 2.39 |
| Elche vs ValenciaLa LigaA | La Liga | ElcheOur prob 43%Best odds 2.48 | +3% | 43% | 41% | A | 2.48 |
| Juventus vs NapoliSerie AA | Serie A | JuventusOur prob 43%Best odds 2.43 | +2% | 43% | 41% | A | 2.43 |
| Marseille vs ToulouseLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | MarseilleOur prob 44%Best odds 2.04 | -4% | 44% | 48% | A | 2.04 |
| Athletic Club vs Real SociedadLa LigaA | La Liga | Athletic ClubOur prob 48%Best odds 2.15 | +3% | 48% | 45% | A | 2.15 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
16 upcoming fixtures across 5 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page