Top pick today
Villarreal
vs
Espanyol
- Our pick
- Villarreal to win
- Our prob.
- 70%
- Market prob.
- 66%
- Edge
- +4%
- Best odds
- 1.49
Matches today
4
across 3 competitions
Competitions
3
with fixtures today
Value picks
1
edge ≥ 2% over the market
High confidence
3
both teams xG-backed
Average edge
+3.9%
across value picks
Match explorer
4 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre vs Paris Saint GermainLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | Paris Saint GermainOur prob 72%Best odds 1.27 | -5% | 72% | 77% | A | 1.27 |
| SV Elversberg vs Mainz 05BundesligaB | Bundesliga | Mainz 05Our prob 45%Best odds 2.20 | 0% | 45% | 45% | B | 2.20 |
| Villarreal vs EspanyolLa LigaA | La Liga | VillarrealOur prob 70%Best odds 1.49 | +4% | 70% | 66% | A | 1.49 |
| Lille vs LensLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | LilleOur prob 37%Best odds 2.59 | 0% | 37% | 38% | A | 2.59 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Competitions in our window
4 upcoming fixtures across 3 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
- Ligue 1 France 2 fixtures
- Bundesliga Germany 1 fixture
- La Liga Spain 1 fixture