Top pick today
Ipswich
vs
Bournemouth
- Our pick
- Bournemouth to win
- Our prob.
- 54%
- Market prob.
- 49%
- Edge
- +5%
- Best odds
- 2.25
Matches today
23
across 5 competitions
Competitions
5
with fixtures today
Value picks
4
edge ≥ 2% over the market
High confidence
20
both teams xG-backed
Average edge
+3.7%
across value picks
Top opportunities
Largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
ValueA
Villarreal to win
Edge+4%
Our prob67%
Best odds1.52
Full prediction ValueA
Brighton to win
Edge+3%
Our prob53%
Best odds1.98
Full prediction ValueA
Real Sociedad to win
Edge+3%
Our prob56%
Best odds1.82
Full prediction Match explorer
24 fixtures today, 1 already played — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche vs Real BetisLa LigaA | La Liga | Real BetisOur prob 42%Best odds 2.12 | -3% | 42% | 44% | A | 2.12 |
| Brighton vs BrentfordPremier LeagueA | Premier League | BrightonOur prob 53%Best odds 1.98 | +3% | 53% | 49% | A | 1.98 |
| Crystal Palace vs LiverpoolPremier LeagueC | Premier League | LiverpoolOur prob 56%Best odds 1.71 | -2% | 56% | 58% | C | 1.71 |
| Ipswich vs BournemouthPremier LeagueA | Premier League | BournemouthOur prob 54%Best odds 2.25 | +5% | 54% | 49% | A | 2.25 |
| Sunderland vs ChelseaPremier LeagueA | Premier League | ChelseaOur prob 42%Best odds 2.09 | -4% | 42% | 46% | A | 2.09 |
| Genoa vs AC MilanSerie AA | Serie A | AC MilanOur prob 50%Best odds 2.00 | -3% | 50% | 53% | A | 2.00 |
| Monza vs AtalantaSerie AA | Serie A | AtalantaOur prob 44%Best odds 2.13 | -3% | 44% | 46% | A | 2.13 |
| Rennes vs LilleLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | RennesOur prob 47%Best odds 2.25 | +2% | 47% | 46% | A | 2.25 |
| FC Cologne vs Bayer LeverkusenBundesligaA | Bundesliga | Bayer LeverkusenOur prob 51%Best odds 1.89 | -5% | 51% | 56% | A | 1.89 |
| Real Sociedad vs Rayo VallecanoLa LigaA | La Liga | Real SociedadOur prob 56%Best odds 1.82 | +3% | 56% | 54% | A | 1.82 |
| Angers vs NiceLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | NiceOur prob 44%Best odds 2.12 | -2% | 44% | 46% | A | 2.12 |
| Brest vs LyonLigue 1B | Ligue 1 | LyonOur prob 37%Best odds 2.57 | -4% | 37% | 41% | B | 2.57 |
| Le Havre vs LorientLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | LorientOur prob 38%Best odds 2.44 | 0% | 38% | 38% | A | 2.44 |
| Le Mans vs MonacoLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | MonacoOur prob 52%Best odds 1.77 | -1% | 52% | 54% | A | 1.77 |
| Manchester United vs Aston VillaPremier LeagueA | Premier League | Manchester UnitedOur prob 41%Best odds 2.21 | -1% | 41% | 42% | A | 2.21 |
| Freiburg vs Union BerlinBundesligaB | Bundesliga | FreiburgOur prob 64%Best odds 1.56 | +2% | 64% | 63% | B | 1.56 |
| Inter vs ComoSerie AA | Serie A | InterOur prob 51%Best odds 2.04 | -3% | 51% | 54% | A | 2.04 |
| Villarreal vs GetafeLa LigaA | La Liga | VillarrealOur prob 67%Best odds 1.52 | +4% | 67% | 63% | A | 1.52 |
| Celta Vigo vs LevanteLa LigaA | La Liga | Celta VigoOur prob 52%Best odds 1.94 | 0% | 52% | 52% | A | 1.94 |
| Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04BundesligaA | Bundesliga | HoffenheimOur prob 60%Best odds 1.66 | +2% | 60% | 58% | A | 1.66 |
| Fiorentina vs JuventusSerie AA | Serie A | JuventusOur prob 51%Best odds 2.18 | +1% | 51% | 50% | A | 2.18 |
| Lens vs MarseilleLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | LensOur prob 47%Best odds 2.37 | +1% | 47% | 46% | A | 2.37 |
| Atletico Madrid vs BarcelonaLa LigaA | La Liga | BarcelonaOur prob 48%Best odds 2.10 | -3% | 48% | 51% | A | 2.10 |
| 1-1 FTNapoli vs LazioSerie AA | Serie A | NapoliOur prob 47%Best odds 2.40 | -1% | 47% | 48% | A | 2.40 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Competitions in our window
23 upcoming fixtures across 5 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
- La Liga Spain 5 fixtures
- Premier League England 5 fixtures
- Serie A Italy 4 fixtures
- Ligue 1 France 6 fixtures
- Bundesliga Germany 3 fixtures
Recent results
What happened next to what we predicted