Updated

16 October 2026

Football predictions today

Deportivo La Coruna faces Levante today, with the model rating Deportivo La Coruna at 60%, while the market sits at 46%, resulting in a gap of +14.5 percentage points. This is the widest model-vs-market gap among today's fixtures. The model has identified two strong value picks, yet it does not prove their outcomes. The largest source of doubt in the sheet is the reliance on xG-based team ratings.

Top pick today

Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante

La Liga ·

Our pick
Deportivo La Coruna to win
Model prob.
60%
Market prob.
46%
Edge
+15%
Best odds
2.17
Matches today 4 across 4 competitions
Competitions 4 with fixtures today
Value picks 2 model edge ≥ 2%
High confidence 2 both teams xG-backed
Average edge +14.3% across value picks

Top opportunities

Largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live

All value bets
High edgeB

Frosinone to win

Frosinone vs Sassuolo · Serie A ·

Edge+14% Our prob44% Best odds2.55
Full prediction

Match explorer

4 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures today with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC CologneBundesligaA Bundesliga Eintracht FrankfurtOur prob 50%Best odds 1.99 -7% 45% 52% A 1.99
Le Mans vs ToulouseLigue 1B Ligue 1 ToulouseOur prob 39%Best odds 2.36 -15% 28% 43% B 2.36
Frosinone vs SassuoloSerie AB Serie A FrosinoneOur prob 44%Best odds 2.55 +14% 54% 40% B 2.55
Deportivo La Coruna vs LevanteLa LigaA La Liga Deportivo La CorunaOur prob 49%Best odds 2.17 +15% 60% 46% A 2.17

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Competitions in our window

4 upcoming fixtures across 4 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page

All competitions