Top pick today
Deportivo La Coruna
vs
Levante
- Our pick
- Deportivo La Coruna to win
- Model prob.
- 60%
- Market prob.
- 46%
- Edge
- +15%
- Best odds
- 2.17
Updated
16 October 2026
Deportivo La Coruna faces Levante today, with the model rating Deportivo La Coruna at 60%, while the market sits at 46%, resulting in a gap of +14.5 percentage points. This is the widest model-vs-market gap among today's fixtures. The model has identified two strong value picks, yet it does not prove their outcomes. The largest source of doubt in the sheet is the reliance on xG-based team ratings.
Top pick today
Largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
Frosinone to win
4 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC CologneBundesligaA | Bundesliga | Eintracht FrankfurtOur prob 50%Best odds 1.99 | -7% | 45% | 52% | A | 1.99 |
| Le Mans vs ToulouseLigue 1B | Ligue 1 | ToulouseOur prob 39%Best odds 2.36 | -15% | 28% | 43% | B | 2.36 |
| Frosinone vs SassuoloSerie AB | Serie A | FrosinoneOur prob 44%Best odds 2.55 | +14% | 54% | 40% | B | 2.55 |
| Deportivo La Coruna vs LevanteLa LigaA | La Liga | Deportivo La CorunaOur prob 49%Best odds 2.17 | +15% | 60% | 46% | A | 2.17 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
4 upcoming fixtures across 4 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page