Top pick today
Lens
vs
Paris FC
- Our pick
- Paris FC to win
- Our prob.
- 37%
- Market prob.
- 34%
- Edge
- +3%
- Best odds
- 2.86
Matches today
20
across 5 competitions
Competitions
5
with fixtures today
Value picks
3
edge ≥ 2% over the market
High confidence
16
both teams xG-backed
Average edge
+2.9%
across value picks
Top opportunities
Largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
ValueA
Mainz 05 to win
Edge+3%
Our prob57%
Best odds1.80
Full prediction ValueA
Roma to win
Edge+3%
Our prob40%
Best odds2.61
Full prediction Match explorer
20 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa vs Manchester CityPremier LeagueA | Premier League | Manchester CityOur prob 51%Best odds 1.71 | -7% | 51% | 58% | A | 1.71 |
| Rayo Vallecano vs ElcheLa LigaA | La Liga | Rayo VallecanoOur prob 55%Best odds 1.82 | +2% | 55% | 53% | A | 1.82 |
| Cagliari vs BolognaSerie AA | Serie A | BolognaOur prob 38%Best odds 2.57 | -1% | 38% | 39% | A | 2.57 |
| Como vs SassuoloSerie AA | Serie A | ComoOur prob 62%Best odds 1.56 | -1% | 62% | 64% | A | 1.56 |
| Mainz 05 vs Werder BremenBundesligaA | Bundesliga | Mainz 05Our prob 57%Best odds 1.80 | +3% | 57% | 55% | A | 1.80 |
| Augsburg vs Union BerlinBundesligaA | Bundesliga | AugsburgOur prob 52%Best odds 1.89 | 0% | 52% | 51% | A | 1.89 |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig vs SV ElversbergBundesligaB | Bundesliga | RasenBallsport LeipzigOur prob 58%Best odds 1.48 | -9% | 58% | 66% | B | 1.48 |
| SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SVBundesligaB | Bundesliga | SC Paderborn 07Our prob 44%Best odds 2.34 | +1% | 44% | 42% | B | 2.34 |
| FC Cologne vs FC Schalke 04BundesligaB | Bundesliga | FC CologneOur prob 44%Best odds 2.12 | -2% | 44% | 46% | B | 2.12 |
| Arsenal vs EvertonPremier LeagueB | Premier League | ArsenalOur prob 64%Best odds 1.50 | -3% | 64% | 66% | B | 1.50 |
| Coventry vs FulhamPremier LeagueA | Premier League | FulhamOur prob 40%Best odds 2.31 | -2% | 40% | 42% | A | 2.31 |
| Racing Santander vs EspanyolLa LigaA | La Liga | Racing SantanderOur prob 41%Best odds 2.60 | +1% | 41% | 40% | A | 2.60 |
| Toulouse vs Estac TroyesLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | ToulouseOur prob 56%Best odds 1.65 | -3% | 56% | 59% | A | 1.65 |
| Napoli vs RomaSerie AA | Serie A | RomaOur prob 40%Best odds 2.61 | +3% | 40% | 38% | A | 2.61 |
| Valencia vs VillarrealLa LigaA | La Liga | VillarrealOur prob 43%Best odds 2.25 | -1% | 43% | 44% | A | 2.25 |
| Chelsea vs TottenhamPremier LeagueA | Premier League | ChelseaOur prob 54%Best odds 1.79 | -2% | 54% | 55% | A | 1.79 |
| Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht FrankfurtBundesligaA | Bundesliga | Borussia DortmundOur prob 63%Best odds 1.50 | -1% | 63% | 64% | A | 1.50 |
| Lazio vs Parma Calcio 1913Serie AA | Serie A | LazioOur prob 66%Best odds 1.44 | -3% | 66% | 69% | A | 1.44 |
| Lens vs Paris FCLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | Paris FCOur prob 37%Best odds 2.86 | +3% | 37% | 34% | A | 2.86 |
| Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La CorunaLa LigaA | La Liga | Atletico MadridOur prob 70%Best odds 1.34 | -5% | 70% | 75% | A | 1.34 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Competitions in our window
20 upcoming fixtures across 5 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
- Premier League England 4 fixtures
- La Liga Spain 4 fixtures
- Serie A Italy 4 fixtures
- Bundesliga Germany 6 fixtures
- Ligue 1 France 2 fixtures