Top pick today
Brest
vs
Angers
- Our pick
- Brest to win
- Model prob.
- 54%
- Market prob.
- 50%
- Edge
- +4%
- Best odds
- 2.00
Matches today
6
across 3 competitions
Competitions
3
with fixtures today
Value picks
2
model edge ≥ 2%
High confidence
4
both teams xG-backed
Average edge
+3.2%
across value picks
Top opportunities
Largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
ValueA
Paris FC to win
Edge+3%
Our prob46%
Best odds2.20
Full prediction Match explorer
23 fixtures today, 17 already played — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli vs FrosinoneSerie AB | Serie A | NapoliOur prob 54%Best odds 1.52 | -45% | 20% | 65% | B | 1.52 |
| Paris Saint Germain vs Le MansLigue 1B | Ligue 1 | Paris Saint GermainOur prob 77%Best odds 1.15 | -33% | 52% | 85% | B | 1.15 |
| Monaco vs ToulouseLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | MonacoOur prob 56%Best odds 1.70 | -11% | 48% | 58% | A | 1.70 |
| Lorient vs Paris FCLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | Paris FCOur prob 46%Best odds 2.20 | +3% | 48% | 45% | A | 2.20 |
| Brest vs AngersLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | BrestOur prob 51%Best odds 2.00 | +4% | 54% | 50% | A | 2.00 |
| Real Madrid vs VillarrealLa LigaA | La Liga | Real MadridOur prob 68%Best odds 1.40 | -8% | 62% | 70% | A | 1.40 |
| 2-1 FTArsenal vs LeedsPremier LeagueA | Premier League | ArsenalOur prob 67%Best odds 1.48 | -2% | 66% | 67% | A | 1.48 |
| 2-1 FTGenoa vs FiorentinaSerie AA | Serie A | FiorentinaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.39 | -3% | 38% | 41% | A | 2.39 |
| 3-4 FTMainz 05 vs Bayer LeverkusenBundesligaA | Bundesliga | Bayer LeverkusenOur prob 42%Best odds 2.31 | -5% | 38% | 43% | A | 2.31 |
| 2-3 FTHoffenheim vs Hamburger SVBundesligaA | Bundesliga | HoffenheimOur prob 65%Best odds 1.49 | -8% | 59% | 67% | A | 1.49 |
| 2-2 FTAugsburg vs Bayern MunichBundesligaA | Bundesliga | Bayern MunichOur prob 78%Best odds 1.20 | -19% | 64% | 82% | A | 1.20 |
| 1-0 FTUnion Berlin vs SV ElversbergBundesligaB | Bundesliga | SV ElversbergOur prob 40%Best odds 2.93 | +25% | 59% | 34% | B | 2.93 |
| 0-2 FTSC Paderborn 07 vs VfB StuttgartBundesligaB | Bundesliga | VfB StuttgartOur prob 54%Best odds 1.64 | -28% | 33% | 61% | B | 1.64 |
| 5-1 FTChelsea vs BournemouthPremier LeagueA | Premier League | ChelseaOur prob 50%Best odds 1.85 | -19% | 36% | 54% | A | 1.85 |
| 2-1 FTIpswich vs FulhamPremier LeagueB | Premier League | FulhamOur prob 37%Best odds 2.63 | -5% | 34% | 38% | B | 2.63 |
| 2-2 FTAston Villa vs BrentfordPremier LeagueA | Premier League | Aston VillaOur prob 38%Best odds 2.82 | +9% | 44% | 35% | A | 2.82 |
| 0-2 FTSunderland vs BrightonPremier LeagueA | Premier League | BrightonOur prob 40%Best odds 2.38 | -5% | 36% | 41% | A | 2.38 |
| 1-2 FTAlaves vs Atletico MadridLa LigaA | La Liga | Atletico MadridOur prob 47%Best odds 1.88 | -25% | 28% | 53% | A | 1.88 |
| 1-0 FTLille vs Le HavreLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | LilleOur prob 64%Best odds 1.48 | -12% | 54% | 67% | A | 1.48 |
| 3-0 FTInter vs Parma Calcio 1913Serie AA | Serie A | InterOur prob 82%Best odds 1.16 | -9% | 76% | 84% | A | 1.16 |
| 3-0 FTBarcelona vs GetafeLa LigaA | La Liga | BarcelonaOur prob 87%Best odds 1.14 | -1% | 86% | 87% | A | 1.14 |
| 1-1 FTManchester United vs TottenhamPremier LeagueA | Premier League | Manchester UnitedOur prob 57%Best odds 1.82 | +6% | 61% | 55% | A | 1.82 |
| 6-0 FTRasenBallsport Leipzig vs Eintracht FrankfurtBundesligaA | Bundesliga | RasenBallsport LeipzigOur prob 56%Best odds 1.62 | -17% | 43% | 60% | A | 1.62 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Competitions in our window
6 upcoming fixtures across 3 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
Recent results
What happened next to what we predicted