Top pick today
Parma Calcio 1913
vs
Torino
- Our pick
- Torino to win
- Model prob.
- 49%
- Market prob.
- 40%
- Edge
- +9%
- Best odds
- 2.63
Updated
19 October 2026
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Top pick today
Largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
Monza to win
4 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza vs CagliariSerie AB | Serie A | MonzaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.49 | +6% | 45% | 40% | B | 2.49 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 vs TorinoSerie AA | Serie A | TorinoOur prob 42%Best odds 2.63 | +9% | 49% | 40% | A | 2.63 |
| Getafe vs Rayo VallecanoLa LigaA | La Liga | Rayo VallecanoOur prob 34%Best odds 2.74 | -6% | 30% | 36% | A | 2.74 |
| Tottenham vs CoventryPremier LeagueB | Premier League | TottenhamOur prob 60%Best odds 1.54 | -17% | 47% | 64% | B | 1.54 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
4 upcoming fixtures across 3 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page