Top pick today
Bournemouth
vs
Leeds
- Our pick
- Bournemouth to win
- Our prob.
- 52%
- Market prob.
- 46%
- Edge
- +7%
- Best odds
- 2.16
Matches today
22
across 5 competitions
Competitions
5
with fixtures today
Value picks
5
edge ≥ 2% over the market
High confidence
11
both teams xG-backed
Average edge
+3.6%
across value picks
Top opportunities
Largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick, xG-backed picks first — the hero card features the strongest of those whose analysis page is already live
ValueA
Hull City to win
Edge+4%
Our prob38%
Best odds2.92
Full prediction ValueA
Rayo Vallecano to win
Edge+3%
Our prob42%
Best odds2.53
Full prediction ValueA
Roma to win
Edge+2%
Our prob64%
Best odds1.62
Full prediction Match explorer
22 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea vs Manchester UnitedPremier LeagueA | Premier League | ChelseaOur prob 50%Best odds 2.07 | +2% | 50% | 48% | A | 2.07 |
| Levante vs Atletico MadridLa LigaA | La Liga | Atletico MadridOur prob 59%Best odds 1.60 | -4% | 59% | 62% | A | 1.60 |
| Bologna vs MonzaSerie AA | Serie A | BolognaOur prob 53%Best odds 1.76 | -3% | 53% | 56% | A | 1.76 |
| Werder Bremen vs HoffenheimBundesligaB | Bundesliga | HoffenheimOur prob 40%Best odds 2.45 | 0% | 40% | 40% | B | 2.45 |
| Borussia M.Gladbach vs SC Paderborn 07BundesligaB | Bundesliga | Borussia M.GladbachOur prob 47%Best odds 2.05 | -1% | 47% | 48% | B | 2.05 |
| Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB StuttgartBundesligaC | Bundesliga | Bayer LeverkusenOur prob 54%Best odds 1.85 | 0% | 54% | 54% | C | 1.85 |
| Augsburg vs FreiburgBundesligaB | Bundesliga | FreiburgOur prob 42%Best odds 2.25 | -1% | 42% | 43% | B | 2.25 |
| FC Schalke 04 vs RasenBallsport LeipzigBundesligaC | Bundesliga | RasenBallsport LeipzigOur prob 49%Best odds 1.88 | -3% | 49% | 52% | C | 1.88 |
| Bournemouth vs LeedsPremier LeagueB | Premier League | BournemouthOur prob 52%Best odds 2.16 | +7% | 52% | 46% | B | 2.16 |
| Manchester City vs BrightonPremier LeagueC | Premier League | Manchester CityOur prob 53%Best odds 1.72 | -4% | 53% | 57% | C | 1.72 |
| Brentford vs Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueA | Premier League | BrentfordOur prob 45%Best odds 2.16 | 0% | 45% | 45% | A | 2.16 |
| Hull City vs IpswichPremier LeagueA | Premier League | Hull CityOur prob 38%Best odds 2.92 | +4% | 38% | 34% | A | 2.92 |
| Coventry vs SunderlandPremier LeagueB | Premier League | SunderlandOur prob 37%Best odds 2.46 | -4% | 37% | 41% | B | 2.46 |
| Rayo Vallecano vs Celta VigoLa LigaA | La Liga | Rayo VallecanoOur prob 42%Best odds 2.53 | +3% | 42% | 39% | A | 2.53 |
| Udinese vs RomaSerie AA | Serie A | RomaOur prob 64%Best odds 1.62 | +2% | 64% | 61% | A | 1.62 |
| Real Betis vs MalagaLa LigaA | La Liga | Real BetisOur prob 70%Best odds 1.35 | -3% | 70% | 72% | A | 1.35 |
| Tottenham vs Crystal PalacePremier LeagueB | Premier League | TottenhamOur prob 57%Best odds 1.75 | -1% | 57% | 59% | B | 1.75 |
| Bayern Munich vs Borussia DortmundBundesligaC | Bundesliga | Bayern MunichOur prob 68%Best odds 1.37 | -4% | 68% | 71% | C | 1.37 |
| AC Milan vs InterSerie AA | Serie A | InterOur prob 47%Best odds 2.10 | 0% | 47% | 47% | A | 2.10 |
| Estac Troyes vs Le MansLigue 1A | Ligue 1 | Estac TroyesOur prob 42%Best odds 2.45 | +1% | 42% | 41% | A | 2.45 |
| Barcelona vs AlavesLa LigaA | La Liga | BarcelonaOur prob 83%Best odds 1.13 | -4% | 83% | 87% | A | 1.13 |
| Aston Villa vs FulhamPremier LeagueB | Premier League | Aston VillaOur prob 49%Best odds 2.07 | +1% | 49% | 48% | B | 2.07 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Competitions in our window
22 upcoming fixtures across 5 competitions — the fixtures themselves are in the explorer above and on each competition page
- Premier League England 8 fixtures
- La Liga Spain 4 fixtures
- Serie A Italy 3 fixtures
- Bundesliga Germany 6 fixtures
- Ligue 1 France 1 fixture